郑东方, 许嘉阳, 黄化刚, 许自成, 翟欣, 陈雪, 张雅杰, 王佩雯. 气候变暖对烤烟气候适生性和大田可用日数的影响[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2015, 23(2): 167-173. DOI: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.141062
引用本文: 郑东方, 许嘉阳, 黄化刚, 许自成, 翟欣, 陈雪, 张雅杰, 王佩雯. 气候变暖对烤烟气候适生性和大田可用日数的影响[J]. 中国生态农业学报(中英文), 2015, 23(2): 167-173. DOI: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.141062
ZHENG Dongfang, XU Jiayang, HUANG Huagang, XU Zicheng, ZHAI Xin, CHEN Xue, ZHANG Yajie, WANG Peiwen. Effect of global warming on climate feasibility index and available field days of flue-cured tobacco[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2015, 23(2): 167-173. DOI: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.141062
Citation: ZHENG Dongfang, XU Jiayang, HUANG Huagang, XU Zicheng, ZHAI Xin, CHEN Xue, ZHANG Yajie, WANG Peiwen. Effect of global warming on climate feasibility index and available field days of flue-cured tobacco[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2015, 23(2): 167-173. DOI: 10.13930/j.cnki.cjea.141062

气候变暖对烤烟气候适生性和大田可用日数的影响

Effect of global warming on climate feasibility index and available field days of flue-cured tobacco

  • 摘要: 为了研究气候变暖对毕节烟区烤烟及大田可用天数的影响, 利用毕节烟区1971-2010年的气候资料, 分析近40年来毕节烟区气候的变化趋势及特点、烤烟气候适生性指数(CFI)和大田可用天数与温度的关系及变化趋势。结果表明: 毕节烟区年均温一直呈比较平稳的上升趋势, 增幅为 0.38 ℃ 10a-1; 毕节烟区近40年年均降雨量为1 047.78 mm, 大田期年均降雨量为527.03 mm, 大田期降雨量随着气候变暖而逐渐减少; 毕节烟区近40年年均日照时数为1 318.20 h, 大田期年均日照时数为632.70 h, 大田期年均日照时数也随着气候变暖而逐渐减少; 1971-2010年间毕节烟区年平均CFI为0.62, 且呈逐年上升趋势。日均温≥13 ℃初日随着气候变暖一直在提前, 40年间提前了将近30 d, 平均为7.5 d 10a-1; 日均温≥18 ℃终日随着气候变暖一直在滞后, 近40年间烤烟采收终期延后了27 d, 平均为6.75 d 10a-1; 40年间烤烟大田可用日数也一直随年均温呈平稳增加趋势, 近40年间共增加了58 d, 增幅为14.5 d 10a-1。气候变暖导致毕节烟区降雨量减少、日照时数变短, 但烤烟CFI随之升高, 有利于烤烟的生长, 同时气候变暖导致毕节烟区烤烟的大田可用日数增加。

     

    Abstract: In order to study the effects of global warming on the adaptability of flue-cured tobacco and available field days in Bijie tobacco-growing region, climate date for 1971?2010 in Bijie tobacco-growing region were used to analyze the trend and characteristics of climate change in the last 40 years. The analysis determined climate feasibility index (CFI) of flue-cured tobacco, the relationship between available field days and temperature and the trends of change in these factors. The results showed that average annual temperature in Bijie tobacco-growing region steadily increased at 0.38 ℃ 10a-1. The average annual rainfall in the last 40 years in Bijie tobacco-growing region was 1 047.78 mm, with 527.03 mm during tobacco growing period. Average annual sunshine duration in Bijie tobacco-growing region in the last 40 years was 1 318.20 h, with 632.70 h during tobacco-growing period. Sunshine duration gradually decreased during 1971-2010 in Bijie tobacco-growing region due to global warming. CFI increased gradually from 1970 to 2010, with a average annual CFI of 0.62. The start of period with average daily temperature ≥13 ℃ occurred early by about 30 d (average of 7.5 d 10a-1) during the 40 years. Then the end day of period with average daily temperature ≥18 ℃ (which is the harvest stage of flue-cured tobacco) delayed by about 27 d (average of 6.75 d 10a-1) after 40 years of global warming. The trend in flue-cured tobacco available field days in the last 40 years steadily increased by 58 d (an increase of 14.5 d 10a-1) with increasing annual average temperature. Although global warming reduced rainfall and shortened the sunshine duration in Bijie tobacco-growing region, CFI of flue-cured tobacco increased. This was conducive for the proper growth of flue-cured tobacco due to increasing available field days in the Bijie tobacco-growing region.

     

/

返回文章
返回