千岛湖水质变化特征与趋势分析

Changing characteristic and trend analysis of water quality of Qiandao Lake

  • 摘要: 对千岛湖水质综合污染指数分析表明,近10年来千岛湖多数监测项目和各断面污染指数都呈现显著下降的趋势,全湖综合水质趋好,表明千岛湖总体水质的变化正处于相对低的风险状态之中。各断面水污染综合指数的对比分析显示,代表千岛湖主要来水水质的街口、航头岛和百亩畈3个断面分列前三,河流污染物的输入是千岛湖水质下降的主要风险来源,其中街口指标显著高于其他断面,是污染输入强度最大的来源。各监测项目污染指数的对比分析表明总N是影响近期千岛湖水质的首要因子。趋势分析表明,除街口和西园码头外其他各断面负荷比均呈现出不同程度的下降趋势。各监测项目综合污染指数分担率的分析表明,总N、溶解氧和高锰酸钾指数排在前列,3项分担率之和占全湖的71%,其中总N接近49%,显著高于其他项目。趋势分析中总N分担率出现显著下降趋势,其他项目也都表现出不同程度下降趋势,大肠杆菌的变化趋势尚不明确。

     

    Abstract: The results of analysis on the comprehensive pollution index show that most monitoring items and sectional pollution indexes demonstrate a notable declining tendency,indicating that the water quality of Qiandao Lake is faced with a relatively low risk.The comparisons of comprehensive water pollution index among sections show that the sections of Jiekou,Hangtou Island and Baimufan,which represent the three main water sources of Qiandao Lake,are the most serious ones.The pollutants input through rivers are the primary threat of the water quality.Jiekou has the highest intensity of contamination input.Its index is significantly higher than those of other sections.The comparative analysis of the comprehensive pollution indexes of all monitoring items indicates the input of total N is the primary risk factor leading to the decline of water quality in the near future.The load ratio analysis of the comprehensive pollution indexes of all monitoring items,the indexes of total N,dissolved oxygen and potassium permanganate are the highest ones,with a total value up to 71% of the whole lake,and total N is approximately 49%,much higher than other items.The tendency analysis shows that the load ratio of total N presents a significant declining trend,and to some extent so do other items except fecal coliform.

     

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