土地利用的生态-经济全息协调优化研究——以宁夏固原县为例

Ecological-economic optimization of land-use structure with the theory of Collected Information Complex Concert Control—A case study of Guyuan County of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region

  • 摘要: 运用全息协调的理论和方法, 以黄土丘陵区宁夏固原县为例, 选择粮食总产、输沙模数为目标因子, 土地利用结构、降水量、积温为结构因子, 利用1949~2003年的生态经济数据, 对土地利用系统进行了生态-经济优化。结果表明:牧草地对粮食产量和水保效益起显著作用, 土地利用系统优化可实现粮食总产增加和输沙模数下降的“双赢”。全息协调分析表明, 粮食总产的最大值为18.92万t·a-1, 最小输沙模数为1 052.9 t·km-2·a-1;目标因子相等权重条件下的土地优化利用调整方案是:在2003年基础上, 将>25°全部和10°~ 25°部分坡耕地共计3.07万hm2退耕还林(草), 输沙模数将由6 000 t·km-2·a-1降至2 000 t·km-2·a-1, 粮食自给率能维持在70%左右

     

    Abstract: The theory and approachs of Collected Information Complex Concert Control (CICCC) are used to ecologically and economically optimize the land-use systems based on a case study of Guyuan County, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, a loess hill area. Gross grain output and sediment transport module are designed as the objective factors while land-use structure, precipitation and cumulative temperature as structural factors and ecological and economic data ranging from 1949 to 2003 are used. The result is that the grasslands are especially important to the gross grain output and the conservation of soil and water. The optimization of land-use system could help achieve both the growth of gross grain output and the decrease of sediment transport module. The analysis result of CICCC shows that the maximum gross grain output in Guyuan County is 18.92′104 t·a-1 , while the minimum sediment transport module is 1 052.9 t·km-2·a-1. And provided that the weight value of each objective factor is same, the optimized adjustment scheme of land-use is that all cultivated land on the slope with more than 25° gradient, and part cultivated slope land with 10° to 25° gradient are returned to the forestlands or grasslands, on the basis of land-use structure in 2003, which will reach 30 700 hm2. The sediment transport module will decrease from 6 000 t·km-2·a-1 to 2 000 t·km-2·a-1, and the ratio of grain self-supplying can sustains to 70% or so.

     

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