数字经济赋能农业新质生产力理论机制与实证检验
The empowerment of agricultural new quality productive forces by digital economy: Theoretical mechanisms and empirical verification
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摘要: 在全球数字化加速转型的背景下, 数字经济已成为推动农业新质生产力的重要引擎。深入研究数字经济对农业新质生产力的赋能作用, 对于加快农业现代化建设、促进农业高质量发展具有理论和现实意义。 本文基于2012—2022年31个省(自治区、直辖市, 不含中国港澳台)面板数据, 通过构建数字经济评价指标体系和农业新质生产力指标体系, 对数字经济赋能农业新质生产力进行实证研究。结果表明: 1)数字经济能够有效促进农业新质生产力。2)人才数字素养水平是数字经济赋能农业新质生产力的关键纽带。3)数字经济对农业新质生产力的影响效应具有区域异质性, 呈西部>东部>中部的总体态势。4)数字经济对农业劳动者、农业劳动对象以及农业劳动生产资料均具有显著的正向促进效应, 其中对农业劳动生产资料影响最大, 对农业劳动对象影响较小。5)数字经济对农业新质生产力的促进作用存在经济发展水平和城镇化水平的门槛效应, 随着门槛值的提高, 数字经济对农业新质生产力的提升作用愈发显著, 呈现出更为强劲的推动态势。鉴于此, 本文针对性提出深化数字技术渗透, 构建农业新质生产力培育体系; 完善人力资本升级路径, 激活技术传导中介效应; 实施梯度化区域发展战略, 适配非线性赋能规律; 优化制度供给, 突破劳动对象数字化瓶颈等, 以提升数字经济赋能农业新质生产力的效应。Abstract: In the context of the accelerated global digital transformation, the digital economy has emerged as a crucial engine driving the development of agricultural new quality productive forces. Conducting in-depth research on how the digital economy empowers agricultural new quality productive forces is of both theoretical and practical significance for accelerating the modernization of agriculture and promoting its high-quality development. This study, based on panel data from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities, not including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan of China) from 2012 to 2022, empirically investigates the empowerment of agricultural new quality productive forces by the digital economy. By constructing evaluation systems for both the digital economy and agricultural new productive forces, the key findings are as follows: 1) The digital economy can effectively promote the development of agricultural new quality productive forces. The digital economy significantly promotes the development of agricultural new quality productive forces. 2) Digital literacy among human capital plays a crucial role as the enabling link for the digital economy’s empowerment of agricultural new quality productive forces. 3) The impact of the digital economy on agricultural new quality productive forces exhibits regional heterogeneity, with the overall pattern of western > eastern > central regions. 4) The digital economy exerts a significant positive effect on agricultural laborers, agricultural labor objects, and agricultural means of production, with the most substantial effect on agricultural means of production, and a relatively smaller impact on agricultural labor objects. 5) The promoting effect of the digital economy on agricultural new quality productive forces is subject to threshold effects related to economic development and urbanization levels; as these thresholds increase, the role of the digital economy in enhancing agricultural new quality productive forces has become increasingly prominent, demonstrating a more robust driving trend. In view of this, this paper specifically proposes measures such as deepening the penetration of digital technologies and constructing a cultivation system for agricultural new quality productive forces; improving the upgrading path of human capital and activating the mediating effect of technology transfer; implementing a gradient regional development strategy to match the nonlinear enabling laws; and optimizing institutional supply to break through the bottleneck of the digitalization of the objects of labor. These measures aim to enhance the effect of the digital economy in empowering agricultural new quality productive forces.