数字经济发展水平对碳排放约束下农业生产效率的影响
Impact of development level of digital economy on agricultural production efficiency under carbon emission constraint
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摘要: 提高碳排放约束下农业生产效率是推动我国现代农业高质量发展的重要动力。数字经济发展通过优化农业资源配置, 促进农业绿色发展, 提高农业生产效率。本研究利用2011—2021年我国30个省(直辖市、自治区, 不包括香港、澳门、台湾和西藏)的面板数据测度区域数字经济发展水平与碳排放约束下农业生产效率。从产业结构视角出发, 研究数字经济发展通过促进农村三产融合进而影响碳排放约束下农业生产效率的作用机制。将农村人力资本和农业科技创新作为调节变量, 分析在其调节作用下, 数字经济发展水平对碳排放约束下农业生产效率的影响。实证结果表明: 1)总体而言, 数字经济发展提高了我国碳排放约束下的农业生产效率, 在一系列稳健性检验和内生性讨论后结论依然显著。2)中介效应分析表明, 数字经济发展能够通过促进农村三产融合提高碳排放约束下的农业生产效率, 其中数字经济发展水平对农业产业链延伸和农业多功能拓展具有显著促进作用。3)农业科技创新进步和农村人力资本水平提高强化了数字经济发展水平对碳约束下农业生产效率的促进作用。4)在我国农村三产融合非试点区、东部地区和粮食主产区, 数字经济发展水平对碳排放约束下农业生产效率的提升效果更为显著。本研究从数字经济视角为提高我国碳排放约束下农业生产效率和助力现代农业高质量发展提供了政策启示。Abstract: Improving agricultural production efficiency under carbon emission constraints is an important driving force for promoting the high-quality development of modern agriculture in China. The digital economy promotes the green development of agriculture and improves the agricultural production efficiency by optimizing the allocation of agricultural resources. This study used panel data from 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities, not including Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Xizang of China) in China from 2011 to 2021 to measure the development level of regional digital economy and agricultural production efficiency under carbon emission constraints. From the perspective of industrial structure, this paper examined how the digital economy affected agricultural production efficiency under the constraint of carbon emissions by influencing rural three-industry integration with the levels of rural human capital and agricultural technological innovation as regulating variables. The empirical results showed that in general, the development of the digital economy has improved agricultural production efficiency under the constraint of carbon emissions in China, and the conclusion remained significant after a series of robustness tests and endogeneity discussions. The mediating effect analysis showed that the digital economy improved agricultural production efficiency under carbon emission constraints by promoting the integration of rural three-industry and that the digital economy has a significant role in promoting the extension of the agricultural industry chain and multi functional expansion of agriculture. Progress in agricultural technological innovation and the improvement of rural human capital have strengthened the role of the digital economy in promoting carbon-constrained agricultural production efficiency. In the non-pilot zone of rural industry integration, eastern regions and major grain-producing areas, the development of the digital economy more significantly promoted the improvement of agricultural production efficiency under the constraint of carbon emissions. From the perspective of the digital economy, this research provides policy insights to improve agricultural production efficiency under China’s carbon emission constraints and helps modern high-quality agricultural development.