基于社会-经济-生态的设施畜牧业可持续发展性能评估与优化*

  • 摘要: 兼顾产能优秀、环境友好和经济营收的现代设施畜牧业是推动农业现代化转型的必然要求。本研究以设施生猪为研究对象,采用能值方法在省际尺度上评估了2021年我国设施畜牧生产系统的社会、经济和生态水平,立足于农业生产系统的长期发展要求修正了系统综合可持续发展性能指标,探讨了具有区域化差异的设施畜牧可持续生产的优化路径。结果显示:(1)设施生猪生产系统主要依赖不可更新购入能值,饲料供给占比最大(68.60%)。(2)设施养殖的人力服务水平和能值货币利润优于散养,但仍有部分省份处于净亏损状态。在设施模式中出现负收益或者获利较低省份的人力服务水平普遍较低,多集中在我国的西北和东北地区。(3)南方地区的环境负载率普遍高于北方地区,陕西、宁夏、吉林和黑龙江的可持续性显著高于全国水平,但是能值货币利润较低。贵州和广西的综合可持续发展性能最佳。(4)相较于2021年,2030年预期建设完成的立体多层设施生猪生产系统的综合可持续发展性能提高了23.33%。未来进一步提高我国生猪生产的设施化率,利用精准饲喂、立体养殖和绿色种养循环等措施将是提高设施畜牧生产系统可持续性的有效手段。

     

    Abstract: Modern protected livestock with excellent production capacity, environmental friendliness and economic revenue is an inevitable requirement to promote the modernization of agriculture. This study took protected pigs as the research object, used emergy method to evaluate the social, economic and ecological levels of China's protected livestock production systems in 2021 at the provincial scale. The emergy input structure and emergy flow of the production system were first determined to reveal its internal composition and correlation. Then, indicators such as labor service level, emergy-money profit and emergy sustainability index were proposed to evaluate the regional heterogeneity of protected pig production systems in China. Based on the long-term development requirements of agricultural production system, the emergy index for sustainable development of the system was revised, and the optimization path of sustainable protected livestock production with regional differences was discussed. The results showed that: (1) The protected pig production system mainly depended on non-renewable purchased emergy, and the feed supply accounted for the largest proportion (68.60%). (2) The labor service level and emergy-money profit of protected production were better than those of backyard, but some provinces still had a net loss of money. The labor service level of the protected production in the provinces with negative or low profit were generally low, which were mostly concentrated in the northwest and northeast of China. (3) The environmental loading ratio in the southern region were generally higher than those in the northern region. The emergy sustainability index of Shaanxi, Ningxia, Jilin and Heilongjiang were significantly better than the national level, but had lower emergy-money profit. The emergy index for sustainable development of Guizhou and Guangxi were best. (4) Compared with 2021, The emergy index for sustainable development of the stereoscopic multilayer pig production system expected to be completed in 2030 had increased by 23.33%. In the future, we should further improve the protected breeding rate of pig production in China, economic policies should be adopted to address the deficit of provinces with negative returns, and the measures of precision feeding, stereoscopic breeding and green planting-breeding circular will be effective optimization paths to improve the sustainability of protected livestock production systems. This study provides a better understanding of the sustainable management of protected livestock production systems.

     

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