规模农户对小农户耕地撂荒行为的抑制效应及路径研究

Research on the inhibitory effect and path of large-scale farmers on farmland abandonment behavior of smallholder farmers

  • 摘要: 耕地撂荒已经成为影响中国粮食安全的重要土地利用问题。在当前规模农户与小农户并存的生产格局下, 规模农户发展所带来的外部规模经济效应, 会对区域内其他农业生产主体产生影响, 从而为缓解耕地撂荒现象带来新的契机。本文利用2020年中国乡村振兴调查数据, 从外部视角出发, 采用2SLS、Ⅳ-Probit等方法实证检验了规模农户发展对小农户耕地撂荒行为的影响及其作用机制, 并进一步分析不同特征下的异质性效应。研究发现: 1)样本中4.21%的耕地被撂荒, 9.25%的农户存在撂荒行为, 户均撂荒面积0.42亩,规模农户平均数量占比2.71%。2)区域内规模农户数量占比的增加能显著抑制小农户的耕地撂荒比例和耕地撂荒决策, 具体通过流转土地和购买农业社会化服务两条路径实现。3)地势差异、分化差异以及代际差异会在一定程度上影响区域内规模农户发展在小农户耕地撂荒行为中发挥的作用, 相较于平原地区农户、非农户、中生代农户以及老一代农户, 区域内规模农户数量占比的增加对于山地丘陵地区农户、兼业农户、纯农户以及新生代农户的耕地撂荒比例和耕地撂荒决策抑制作用更明显。因此, 为有效抑制耕地撂荒趋势, 切实保障国家粮食安全, 政府应进一步完善土地流转机制与社会化服务支持体系, 加强宣传引导与技术培训, 并实施差异化激励措施, 为农业规模化经营创造良好制度环境, 从而充分发挥规模农户的示范效应, 有效带动小农户融入现代农业发展进程, 形成良性互动的发展格局。

     

    Abstract: Cultivated land abandonment has become a significant land use issue affecting China's food security. Under the current production structure where large-scale farmers and smallholder farms coexist, the external economies of scale generated by the development of large-scale farmers can influence other agricultural producers within the region, thereby presenting new opportunities to mitigate cultivated land abandonment. Using data from the 2020 China Rural Revitalization Survey, this study adopts an exogenous perspective and employs methods such as 2SLS and IV-Probit to empirically examine the impact of the development of large-scale farmers on smallholder cultivated land abandonment behaviors and their underlying mechanisms. It further analyzes heterogeneous effects across different characteristics. The findings reveal: 1) In the sample, 4.21% of arable land was abandoned, with 9.25% of households engaging in abandonment behaviors, averaging 0.42 mu of abandoned cultivated land per household. large-scale farmers accounted for an average of 2.71% of all farmers. 2) An increase in the proportion of large-scale farmers within a region significantly suppresses both the proportion of abandoned cultivated land among smallholder and their decision to abandon cultivated land. This effect is achieved through two pathways: land transfer and the purchase of agricultural socialized services. 3) Topographical differences, differentiation differences, and generational factors partially influence the role of large-scale farmer development in shaping smallholder cultivated land abandonment behaviors within a region. Compared to farmers in plains areas, non-agricultural farmers, middle-generation farmers, and older-generation farmers, the increase in the proportion of large-scale farming households within a region exerts a more pronounced inhibitory effect on the proportion of abandoned cultivated land and the decision to abandon cultivated land among farmers in hilly and mountainous areas, part-time farmers, full-time farmers, and younger-generation farmers. Therefore, to effectively curb the trend of cultivated land abandonment and safeguard national food security, the government should further refine land transfer mechanisms and socialized service support systems, strengthen publicity, guidance, and technical training, and implement differentiated incentive measures. This will create a favorable institutional environment for large-scale agricultural operations, fully leverage the demonstration effect of large-scale farmers, effectively integrate smallholder into modern agricultural development, and foster a virtuous cycle of mutual development.

     

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