高标准农田建设政策对农民收入的影响及作用机制
Research on the impact of high-standard farmland construction policy on farmers' income and its mechanisms
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摘要: 高标准农田建设事关农业现代化发展大局, 既是粮食安全的“压舱石”, 又是农民增收的“金钥匙”。本文基于2005—2023年中国31个省(直辖市、自治区, 未包括中国香港、澳门和台湾)面板数据, 运用强度双重差分模型评估高标准农田建设政策对农民收入的影响及作用机制。研究发现: 1)高标准农田建设政策对经营性收入的促进作用要强于对工资性收入的抑制作用, 总体显著促进了农民增收; 2)异质性分析发现, 高标准农田建设政策对农民收入的影响存在非均衡效应, 该政策在低农业劳动力转移、高农业灾害率、低农村人力资本地区的增收效果更明显; 3)机制检验结果表明, 高标准农田建设政策主要通过农业机械化和农业规模经营带动农民收入增长, 且两者间的协同效应使政策具备农民增收的自我实现机制。据此, 建议坚持高标准农田“建设”与“管护”并重; 因地制宜推进高标准农田建设; 聚焦农业机械化和规模经营两大核心要素。Abstract: High-standard farmland construction is crucial to the overall development of agricultural modernization, serving as both a "stabilizer" for food security and a “golden key” to increasing farmers’ income. Based on panel data from 31 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2005 to 2023, this study employs an intensity difference-in-differences model to evaluate the impact of the high-standard farmland construction policy on farmers' income and its underlying mechanisms. The findings are as follows: 1) The high-standard farmland construction policy has a stronger promoting effect on operational income than its inhibiting effect on wage income, significantly boosting overall regional farmers' income. 2) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the policy's impact on farmers' income exhibits uneven effects, with more pronounced income-increasing outcomes in regions characterized by low agricultural labor transfer, high agricultural disaster rates, and low rural human capital. 3) Mechanism tests indicate that the policy primarily drives regional farmers’ income growth through agricultural mechanization and large-scale agricultural operations, with synergistic effects between the two creating a self-reinforcing mechanism for income enhancement. Based on these findings, it is recommended to prioritize both the “construction” and “maintenance” of high-standard farmland, promote its development according to local conditions, focus on the two core elements of agricultural mechanization and large-scale operations.
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