“猪-沼-果-电”生态农场的综合效益评估与优化

Comprehensive benefits assessment and optimization of the ‘swine -biogas-fruit-electricity’ ecological farm

  • 摘要: 近年来, 生态农场发展成为中国农业绿色发展的新抓手。“猪-沼-果-电”作为新兴生态农业循环模式已在部分地区得到推广, 但其综合效益的量化评估仍需完善, 且通过合理的生产规模优化将更有利于农场可持续发展。本文从温室气体减排、经济和膳食营养供给3个角度, 结合江苏省如皋市的实际案例, 量化分析了农场生产的温室气体排放量、成本、利润以及农场营养供给量等指标, 评估“猪-沼-果-电”生态模式的综合效益, 并构建基于非支配排序遗传算法(NSGA-Ⅱ)的生态农场生产结构多目标优化模型, 提出该模式的可持续发展优化方案。研究表明, 生态农场在温室气体排放、经济效益和资源循环方面优于常规农场。种植系统单位面积温室气体排放量较常规农场减少91%, 养殖系统单位生猪温室气体排放量降低2%, 这主要得益于沼气发电和粪肥还田所实现的能源与养分的内部循环。经济方面, 生态农场通过成本控制实现多数作物的较高利润, 水果种植利润比常规农场高29%~50%, 同时养殖系统主要通过自繁自养使生产成本较常规农场降低46%。尽管生态农场单位面积膳食营养供给水平略低于常规农场, 但仍保持稳定供给。多目标优化模拟显示, 不同目标导向(最大化产量、利润或最小化温室气体排放)下的生产结构调整存在显著的效益权衡与协同, 通过选择不同的优化方案可分别实现农场温室气体减排效果最高达56%, 总利润最高提升93%, 人口营养供给水平最高提升110%。本研究不仅为“猪-沼-果-电”生态农场的效益优化提供了理论依据, 还为该模式的推广和发展提供了实践经验, 具有重要的理论意义和应用价值。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, the development of ecological farms has emerged as a key focus in China’s pursuit of sustainable agriculture development. Among various innovative models, the ‘swine-biogas-fruit-electricity’ system has gained attention as an integrated ecological agricultural recycling system, combining livestock breeding, biogas production, fruit cultivation, and renewable energy generation. This model has been actively promoted in several regions as part of China’s green transition strategy. This study evaluates the comprehensive benefits of the “swine-biogas-fruit-electricity” ecological farming model from the perspectives of carbon emission reduction, economic performance, and dietary nutrient supply, using a case study from Rugao City, Jiangsu Province. Key indicators such as greenhouse gas emissions, production costs, profits, and nutrient supply were quantified. A multi-objective optimization model for ecological farm production structure was constructed based on the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-Ⅱ), aiming to propose sustainable development solutions for ecological farming model. The analysis focuses on the cost-profit ratio and overall profitability of the farm. The study examines the system’s contribution to nutritional supply for local populations, a crucial indicator of food security and rural welfare. Using a case study from Nantong, Jiangsu Province, this research explores the model’s comprehensive benefits and sustainable optimization strategies. Compared to conventional farming systems, ecological farms achieve significantly lower carbon footprints, higher cost-effectiveness, and more efficient circular resource flows. The study showed that greenhouse gas emissions per unit area in the cropping system of the ecological farm were reduced by approximately 91% compared to conventional farms, while emissions per unit in the livestock system decreased by 2%, attributable to the internal cycling of energy and nutrients through biogas power generation and manure recycling. Economic Performance: The ecological farm achieved higher profits for most crops through cost control measures, with fruit cultivation generating 29%−50% higher net profits compared to conventional farms. Meanwhile, the livestock system reduced production cost by 46% compared to conventional farms, primarily through self-breeding practices. Although the ecological farm's dietary nutrient supply per unit area was slightly lower than that of conventional farms, it maintained stable supply levels. Further multi-objective optimization simulations revealed significant trade-offs and synergies in production structure adjustments under different goal orientations (maximizing yield, profit, or minimizing carbon emissions). By adopting different optimization strategies, the farm system can achieve up to a 56% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, a 93% increase in total profit, or a 110% improvement in population-level nutritional supply, depending on the selected optimization approach. This study not only provides a theoretical foundation for optimizing the “swine-biogas-fruit-electricity” model but also offers practical insights for policymakers and agricultural practitioners. By quantifying the system’s benefits and identifying optimal production scales, the research contributes to the broader adoption and sustainable development of ecological farming in China. The findings hold significant value for promoting low-carbon agriculture, rural economic growth, and food security, aligning with China’s national strategies for green transformation and rural revitalization.

     

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