Abstract:
The introduction of the "Dual Carbon" goals has injected a new impetus for green development into the Rural Revitalization Strategy. Achieving carbon neutrality in the agricultural and rural sectors is an important measure to implement the Rural Revitalization Strategy. To explore the integration pathways for rural revitalization and carbon neutrality goals and to provide scientific evidence and policy recommendations for achieving carbon neutrality in rural areas of Guangdong Province, this paper calculates the greenhouse gas emissions in rural Guangdong from 2015 to 2022 based on the emission factor method and forecasts the emission trends up to 2035. The results show that in 2022, the greenhouse gas emissions in rural Guangdong were approximately 100 million tons of CO₂ equivalent, with non-CO₂ greenhouse gases accounting for 55%. By optimizing the energy structure, enhancing energy efficiency, and strengthening non-CO₂ emission reductions, agricultural greenhouse gas emissions in Guangdong are expected to decrease by 80% by 2035 compared to 2022. The high-value utilization of agricultural biomass is projected to boost economic growth by about 25%. The study concludes that establishing a top-level design mechanism for the organic integration of rural revitalization and carbon neutrality goals, improving rural electrification levels, enhancing rural energy efficiency, promoting the multi-scenario development of rural photovoltaics, advancing the high-value utilization of agricultural and forestry biomass, and controlling agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions can achieve rural carbon neutrality while also facilitating rural revitalization.