国家森林城市创建对城乡融合发展的影响及其机制

Impact of national forest city creation on urban-rural integration and the mechanism

  • 摘要: 探讨生态共富路径如何促进城乡共荣是当下农业农村绿色发展的重要议题。国家森林城市创建是推进城乡融合发展、实现乡村振兴的制度方案, 符合城市和乡村人民的共同诉求, 从制度评估视角出发关注国家森林城市创建对城乡融合发展的政策效应具有重要现实意义。基于269个地市层面的动态面板数据, 运用双重差分模型(DID)、双重差分倾向得分匹配模型(PSM-DID)、面板分位数模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型系统考察了国家森林城市创建对城乡融合的影响效应及其作用机制。研究发现: 1)国家森林城市创建能有效促进城乡融合, 经内生性问题处理和稳健性检验后上述结论依然成立。2)机制分析结果表明, 国家森林城市创建通过推动空气污染治理、激励绿色技术创新间接促进城乡融合。3)异质性分析结果表明, 随着城乡融合发展水平的提升, 国家森林城市创建对城乡融合的正向影响存在边际递增效应; 另外, 国家森林城市创建对城乡融合的促进作用在东部城市、非资源型城市和环境保护重点城市中更为显著。4)门槛效应表明, 国家森林城市创建对城乡融合的影响具有非线性递增特征, 当环境规制强度和产业结构转型跨过门槛值后, 国家森林城市创建对城乡融合的促进效果明显增强。据此, 提出因地制宜构建国家森林城市创建“城乡协同发展”新模式, 加强城乡空气污染联防联控, 以绿色技术为新引擎促进城乡融合等对策建议。

     

    Abstract: It is an important issue to explore how the path of ecological co-prosperity can promote urban-rural co-prosperity. The construction of national forest city is an policy to promote the urban-rural integration and realize rural revitalization, which is in line with the common demands of urban and rural people, and it is of great practical significance to pay attention to the policy impact of national forest city construction on the urban-rural integration from the perspective of institutional assessment. Based on the dynamic panel data at the level of 269 cities, the impact of national forest city creation on urban-rural integration and its mechanism are systematically examined by using difference-in-difference model (DID), propensity score matching difference-in-difference model (PSM-DID), panel quartile model, mediation effect model and threshold effect model. The results show that the forest city construction can effectively promote urban-rural integration, and the above conclusion still hold after the endogeneity problem is dealt with and the robustness test is conducted. The results of the mechanism analysis show that the forest city construction indirectly promotes urban-rural integration by promoting air pollution control and incentivizing green technology innovation. The results of heterogeneity analysis show that there is a marginal incremental effect of the positive impact of forest city construction on urban-rural integration as the development level of urban-rural integration increases. In addition, the positive impact of forest city construction on urban-rural integration is more significant in eastern cities, non-resource cities and key cities for environmental protection. The threshold effect indicates that the impacts of national forest city creation on urban-rural integration have nonlinear incremental characteristic. When the intensity of environmental regulation and industrial structure transformation cross the threshold, the positive impact of forest city construction on urban-rural integration increases significantly. Accordingly, we should build a new model of “urban-rural synergistic development” for national forest city creation according to local conditions, strengthen urban-rural air pollution prevention, and promote urban-rural integration with green technology as a new engine.

     

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