伊犁河流域1990-2020年耕地转入-转出评价

Assessment of cropland transferred in-transferred out in the Ili River Basin from 1990 to 2020

  • 摘要: 以往在评估转入、转出耕地的质量变化时很少将耕地土壤理化性质考虑进来。伊犁河流域是新疆重要的农牧业基地,过去30年来,伊犁河流域自然环境和社会经济发生了巨大变化。本研究利用30 m分辨率的中国多时期土地覆盖数据集获取伊犁河流域1990和2020年耕地空间分布数据,探究耕地的数量变化以及新增耕地的来源和分布情况;通过计算Cohen's D值比较新增耕地和转出耕地在海拔、坡度、土壤有机碳含量、全磷含量、全氮含量、砂粒含量和pH上的差异,并与全国七大农区进行对比。与1990年相比,2020年伊犁河流域耕地面积由6196.80 km2增加至8606.51 km2,新增的耕地主要是高海拔的草地,且集中在河流的两岸,这与流域的灌溉调水能力有所提升有关;与1990年相比,2020年新增耕地的海拔有较大程度增加,但坡度仅有较小程度增加(Cohen's D值分别为0.851、0.276);有机碳含量、全氮含量分别有中等和较小程度的增加,且全磷含量、砂粒含量和pH的变化很小(Cohen's D值分别为0.558、0.308、-0.116、0.081、0.001),即伊犁河流域新增耕地的土壤质量较好,这与新疆和全国七大农区明显不同。伊犁仍有大量可开垦草地作为后备耕地,是未来耕地面积增加的潜力地带。为了流域农业的可持续发展,未来尤其注意不宜在生态脆弱的高海拔(如海拔2500 m以上)和陡坡地区进行开垦。

     

    Abstract: In the past, the physicochemical properties of cropland soils were rarely taken into account when assessing the changes in the quality of transferred-in and transferred-out cropland. The Ili River Basin is an important agricultural and animal husbandry base in Xinjiang, and the natural environment and socio-economy of the Ili River Basin have changed dramatically over the past 30 years. We used the annual China Land Cover Dataset to obtain data on the spatial distribution of cropland in the Ili River Basin in 1990 and 2020, to explore the changes in the amount of cropland as well as the source and distribution of newly added cropland; we compared the newly added cropland and the transferred – out cropland by calculating the Cohen's D value in terms of elevation, slope, organic carbon content, total phosphorus content, total nitrogen content, sand content, and pH, and compare them with the seven major agricultural regions of China. Compared with 1990, the area of cropland in the Ili River Basin in 2020 increased from 6, 196.80 km2 to 8, 606.51 km2, and the newly added cropland was mainly high-elevation grassland and concentrated on the two sides of the river, this is mainly related to the increase in irrigation and water transfer capacity of the Basin; compared with 1990, the elevation of newly added cropland in 2020 has a large increase in elevation but a small increase in slope (Cohen's D values were 0.851, 0.276). Organic carbon content, total nitrogen content has a medium and a small increase, respectively, but a very small increase or decrease in total phosphorus, sand content, and pH (Cohen's D values were 0.558, 0.308, -0.116, 0.081, and 0.001, respectively), indicating that the soil quality of the newly added cropland in the Ili River Basin is relatively good. Seven agricultural regions of the country are obviously different. Although there is still a large amount of reclaimable grassland in Ili as reserve cropland, which is a potential zone for increasing the area of arable land in the future. For the sustainable development of agriculture in the basin, special attention should be paid in the future to the inadvisability of reclamation in ecologically fragile high-altitude ( such as above 2, 500 m elevation) and steep-slope areas.

     

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