绿色发展先行区试点对我国农业生态效率的影响研究

Influence of green development pilot zones on agricultural eco-efficiency in China

  • 摘要: 采取有效政策举措促进农业生态效率提升是当前政府和学界广泛关注的重大现实问题。本文基于2002—2022年我国238个地级行政区面板数据, 采用超效率SBM模型测算农业生态效率并揭示其时空演变特征; 利用多时点双重差分模型, 将农业绿色发展先行区试点作为一项准自然实验, 探究其对农业生态效率的影响、异质性与调节机制。结果表明: 1)我国农业生态效率由2002年的0.039上升到2022年的0.175, 呈逐年波动上升趋势; 高农业生态效率聚类区域由以华南为主, 演变为以川渝、华中、西部、东北和华南多点开花的空间格局。2)基准回归结果发现, 与非试点地区和试点实施前相比, 先行区试点对农业生态效率提升具有显著的正向影响, 且结果具有较好的稳健性。3)区域分异性分析发现, 先行区试点对农业生态效率的影响在东部、沿海和粮食主产区较为显著。4)调节机制检验结果表明, 农业产业集聚和农作物种植结构多元化在先行区试点促进农业生态效率提升中起正向调节作用。最后, 本文提出建立农业生态效率提升技术共享平台、构建差异化区域推广体系和建立“产业集聚与种植多元”双轮驱动的政策强化机制等有序推广先行区试点及提升农业生态效率的对策建议。

     

    Abstract: At present, effective policy measures to improve agricultural eco-efficiency is a major practical issue widely addressed by governments and academia. Based on panel data from 238 prefecture-level administrative regions in China from 2002 to 2022, in this study, we used the super-efficiency slacks-based measure (SBM) model to measure agricultural eco-efficiency and reveal its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics. Using the multi-time-point difference-in-differences model, the pilot zone of agricultural green development was considered a quasi-natural experiment to explore its impact, heterogeneity, and regulatory mechanisms on agricultural eco-efficiency. The results showed the following: 1) China’s agricultural eco-efficiency increased from 0.039 in 2002 to 0.175 in 2022, showing a dynamic trend of annual increase. The clustering area of high agricultural eco-efficiency was dominated by South China and evolved into a spatial pattern of multi-point flowering in Sichuan and Chongqing, Central China, Western China, Northeast China, and South China. 2) Benchmark regression results showed that compared with non-pilot zones and zones before pilot implementation, pilot zones had a significant positive impact on the improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency, and the results had good robustness. 3) Regional differentiation analysis revealed that the impact of pilot zones on agricultural eco-efficiency was more significant in the eastern, coastal, and major grain-producing areas. 4) The results of the adjustment mechanism test showed that agricultural industry agglomeration and diversification of the crop planting structure played a positive role in improving agricultural eco-efficiency in the pilot zone. Finally, we propose countermeasures and suggestions for the orderly promotion of pilot zones and the improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency, including establishing a technology sharing platform for enhancing agricultural eco-efficiency, building a differentiated regional promotion system, and creating a policy reinforcement mechanism driven by the “dual engines” of industrial agglomeration and crop diversification.

     

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