数字技术对农业减污降碳协同治理的影响及作用机制

Research on the impact and mechanism of digital technology on the synergistic governance of pollution and carbon reduction in agriculture

  • 摘要: 协同推进农业降碳减污是加快推进农业农村现代化建设的必由之路。现代数字技术与农业经济的深度融合为乡村生态振兴带来新机遇。根据农业减排固碳的关键环节, 这项研究构建了包含农业内部生产高效化和减量化, 以及农业外部经营土地流转和能源结构转型的理论分析框架。基于2005—2022年30个省份的面板数据, 从边际减排成本的角度量化测算农业减污降碳协同效益, 运用双向固定效应模型验证了数字技术对农业减污降碳协同治理的影响效应及路径机制。结果表明, 数字技术的高效、精准和智能特征会促进农业减污降碳协同治理。该结论经过一系列稳健性检验和消除内生性问题后仍然成立。内部机制检验结果表明, 数字技术可以减少农药、化肥、农膜的使用量以及节约灌溉用水, 实现要素投入减量化并提高农业生产效率。外部机制检验结果表明, 数字技术会通过促进土地流转和加速农村能源结构转型的渠道实现农业减污降碳协同治理。异质性分析的结果表明, 数字技术在产业融合度高和粮食主销区对协同效益的提升作用更强烈。为建设绿色智能的农业生态文明, 根据研究结果提出了深化数字基础设施创新与应用、强化运用数字化技术对土地制度改革的赋能作用、推进畜禽粪污资源化利用的政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Promoting carbon reduction and pollution control in agriculture in a coordinated manner is an inevitable way to accelerate the modernization of agriculture and rural areas. The deep integration of modern digital technology and the agricultural economy brings new opportunities for the ecological revitalization of rural areas. Based on the key links of agricultural emission reduction and carbon sequestration, this study has established a theoretical analysis framework for the internal efficiency and reduction of agricultural production, as well as the external land transfer and energy structure transformation in agricultural operation. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2005 to 2022, the synergy benefits of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction were quantitatively calculated from the perspective of marginal emission reduction cost. The bidirectional fixed effect surface model was used to verify the impact effect and path mechanism of digital technology on the synergy governance of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction. The results show that the efficient, precise and intelligent characteristics of digital technology will promote the coordinated governance of pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction in agriculture. This conclusion still holds true after a series of robustness tests and the elimination of endogeneity problems. The results of the internal mechanism show that digital technology can reduce the usage of pesticides, chemical fertilizers and agricultural films, save irrigation water, achieve the reduction of factor input and improve agricultural production efficiency. The results of external mechanisms show that digital technology will achieve coordinated governance of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction through channels that promote land transfer and accelerate the transformation of rural energy structure. The results of the heterogeneity analysis indicate that digital technology has a stronger effect on enhancing synergy benefits in areas with a high degree of industrial integration and major grain-consuming regions. To build a green and intelligent agricultural ecological civilization, based on the research results, policy suggestions have been put forward, including deepening the innovation and application of digital infrastructure, strengthening the enabling role of digital technology in land system reform, and promoting the resource utilization of livestock and poultry manure.

     

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